TheCropSite.com- news, features, articles and disease information for the crop industry

News

Spain Forescasts 30 Per Cent Drop in Cereal Harvest

11 June 2012

SPAIN - After analysing the data available, the Spanish cereal sector estimated cereal harvest in Spain this year will be around 11 million tonnes, down 30 per cent from the average of the last five years.

The most significant production declines have occurred in Andalusia and Aragon where insufficient rains in April and high temperatures in May have caused havoc in the final stage of crop development.

The total area of winter grains remains stable compared to previous campaigns, with a significant increase in durum wheat, which increases its surface by more than 12 per cent.

In terms of production, forecasts show revenues of 11 million tons, of which 4.125 million are for wheat (30.74 per cent compared to last year), 0.35 million to durum wheat, 5.325 million to barley. Other cereals are reduced by 26 per cent.

The total production decline of 30 per cent from the average of the last five years, is largely due to the severe drought during the winter in most parts of the country. The most significant decreases have occurred in Andalusia (-70 per cent), Aragon (-70 per cent), Extremadura (-55 per cent), Castilla y Leon (-30 to 35 per cent), Navarra (-25 per cent) and Castilla-La Mancha (-25 per cent).

Despite the drastic reduction in production, the current campaign is characterised by a very good grain quality in both wheat and barley, recording optimum moisture parameters, protein and vitrosity.

With respect to forecasts for global production of cereals, the International Grains Council has estimated a harvest of 1,873 million tons, of which 671 corresponds to wheat.

As for the prices of cereals in Spain, the sector sees no reason to believe that prices will fall, but quite the opposite. The drastic reduction in kilos, good grain quality, a minimum stock campaign and the strengthening of European exports to the dollar zone countries as a result of a favorable change in the dollar / euro suggest some high prices for this marketing year.

Finally, knowing that this year the Spanish deficit in cereals increased as a consequence of reduced harvest, the government has requested that cereal imports are not made from third countries while the harvest season in Spain is developing.

TheCropSite News Desk



Our Sponsors